Risk PremiumResearch Tools

Shiller CAPE · Oct 11, 2026

41.2

Scaled from Oct 1, 2026 by the price at 02:01 ET

Tax-adjusted · Oct 11, 2026

40.4

Restated trailing earnings

K-factor

0.982

Adjusted ÷ CPI CAPE · Oct 1, 2026

S&P 500

7812

As of 11 Oct 2026 02:01 ET

Cyclically adjusted P/E

Methodology
Shiller CAPE (CPI) Tax-adjusted CAPE
0 10 20 30 40 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
0 10 20 30 40 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020

Annual rows are December; the newest month of each series and today's price-scaled point are kept on top, so the latest reading is never hidden by that truncation. Earnings are reported through Jun 1, 2026; later months hold them flat and move on price and the deflator alone, so they are drawn dashed. Computed monthly on a 120-month window, which is Shiller's own method: the replicated CPI CAPE lands within 0.05 of his published figure. The adjusted line starts Dec 1, 1918, ten full years after its deflator does. K is that line divided by the replicated CPI CAPE, so below 1.0 the adjustment makes the market look cheaper than the headline number does. The tax adjustment restates each past year's earnings at today's statutory rate, so a cut revises the trailing window upward and brings CAPE down. Rates are top federal statutory, stated through 2026 and held flat after that.

View as a table
PeriodShiller CAPE Tax-adjusted K
Oct 11, 2026 scaled by price 41.18 40.44 0.982
Oct 1, 2026 earnings held 40.71 39.14 0.982
Aug 1, 2026 earnings held 40.99 39.66 0.980
2025 39.58 38.14 0.969
2024 37.71 35.76 0.952
2023 31.45 29.24 0.933
2022 28.32 25.81 0.915
2021 38.30 34.07 0.895
2020 33.77 29.56 0.875
2019 30.33 25.94 0.861
2018 28.29 23.60 0.843
2017 32.09 31.98 1.000
2016 27.87 27.87 1.000
2015 25.97 25.96 1.000
2014 26.79 26.71 1.000
2013 24.86 24.75 1.000
2012 21.24 21.10 1.000
2011 20.52 20.37 1.000
2010 22.40 22.35 1.000
2009 20.32 20.36 1.000
2008 15.38 15.45 1.000
2007 25.96 25.90 1.000
2006 27.28 27.14 1.000
2005 26.44 26.32 1.000
2004 27.14 27.04 1.000
2003 26.64 26.52 1.000
2002 23.10 23.09 1.000
2001 30.50 30.50 1.001
2000 37.27 37.15 1.002
1999 44.20 44.15 1.003
1998 38.82 38.96 1.005
1997 33.03 33.11 1.007
1996 27.72 27.58 1.000
1995 25.03 24.51 0.984
1994 19.91 19.16 0.965
1993 21.16 20.00 0.945
1992 20.45 18.72 0.915
1991 18.44 16.62 0.899
1990 15.85 13.98 0.882
1989 17.65 15.25 0.863
1988 14.70 12.38 0.843
1987 13.39 12.12 0.904
1986 14.09 14.00 0.992
1985 11.69 11.56 0.988
1984 9.60 9.45 0.985
1983 9.82 9.65 0.981
1982 8.47 8.29 0.978
1981 7.83 7.62 0.975
1980 9.39 9.10 0.971
1979 8.75 8.42 0.965
1978 9.01 8.89 0.988
1977 9.68 9.45 0.978
1976 11.60 11.34 0.977
1975 10.25 10.03 0.978
1974 8.29 8.09 0.978
1973 13.49 13.10 0.974
1972 18.65 17.99 0.966
1971 16.60 15.90 0.960
1970 15.87 15.47 0.976
1969 17.33 18.06 1.045
1968 22.28 23.26 1.048
1967 21.75 20.71 0.955
1966 19.74 18.61 0.946
1965 23.69 22.15 0.936
1964 22.75 21.88 0.965
1963 21.04 20.98 1.000
1962 18.59 18.54 1.000
1961 22.04 22.02 1.000
1960 17.56 17.61 1.002
1959 18.62 18.97 1.020
1958 17.36 18.09 1.043
1957 13.67 14.47 1.063
1956 17.20 18.52 1.084
1955 18.94 20.80 1.106
1954 15.79 17.78 1.132
1953 11.75 13.56 1.158
1952 12.93 15.32 1.189
1951 12.15 14.44 1.191
1950 11.31 11.91 1.058
1949 10.53 10.70 1.021
1948 10.16 10.54 1.044
1947 10.68 11.45 1.071
1946 11.37 12.67 1.110
1945 15.02 17.72 1.180
1944 11.64 14.14 1.217
1943 10.74 13.39 1.251
1942 9.62 12.39 1.294
1941 10.09 11.75 1.171
1940 13.91 15.23 1.098
1939 16.28 17.20 1.052
1938 15.76 16.85 1.064
1937 13.01 13.28 1.023
1936 21.13 21.65 1.025
1935 16.16 16.39 1.012
1934 11.64 11.82 1.013
1933 12.28 12.49 1.014
1932 8.26 8.39 1.015
1931 9.31 9.23 0.995
1930 16.06 15.95 0.996
1929 22.01 21.57 0.987
1928 25.30 25.17 0.998
1927 18.65 19.02 1.015
1926 13.01 13.52 1.030
1925 11.15 11.67 1.045
1924 9.31 9.80 1.053
1923 7.81 8.32 1.065
1922 7.96 8.61 1.077
1921 6.11 6.49 1.055
1920 4.78 5.10 1.062
1919 6.16 6.61 1.069
1918 6.13 6.76 1.102
1917 6.41 — —
1916 11.41 — —
1915 12.88 — —
1914 10.17 — —
1913 11.17 — —
1912 13.39 — —
1911 13.93 — —
1910 13.74 — —
1909 14.75 — —
1908 14.58 — —
1907 11.33 — —
1906 17.66 — —
1905 19.58 — —
1904 18.16 — —
1903 16.04 — —
1902 19.63 — —
1901 21.68 — —
1900 20.74 — —
1899 18.51 — —
1898 21.40 — —
1897 18.75 — —
1896 16.50 — —
1895 16.55 — —
1894 16.67 — —
1893 15.61 — —
1892 18.01 — —
1891 18.21 — —
1890 14.44 — —
1889 16.61 — —
1888 14.95 — —
1887 15.46 — —
1886 18.19 — —
1885 16.30 — —
1884 13.43 — —
1883 14.90 — —
1882 15.38 — —
1881 15.96 — —

Data freshness

SourceLast pulledStatusDetail
fred_m2sl 2026-10-08 23:44 ET ok 812 months, 1959-01-2026-08
shiller 2026-10-08 23:44 ET ok {'price': 1870, 'earnings': 1866, 'cpi': 1870, 'shiller_cape': 1750, …
sp500_spot 2026-10-11 02:01 ET ok ^GSPC = 7811.54, ^TNX = 5.244